THE FALL OF SINGAPORE SPIRIT
The aftermath of the Brexit EU referendum victory has
witnessed the triumph of the Fall of Singapore Spirit. The Tories have amply
demonstrated why Britain is the shadow of the superpower it once was.
Crucially, currently, the EU and genuine Brexit
supporters are in full agreement; both wish to conclude Britain's exit from the
EU quickly and without a lot of fuss. The EU has made clear that they are
prepared to do a deal. Instead of seizing the moment and offer terms for a
quick agreement, the Tories are faffing about and waffling, and waffling, and
waffling …
There were some during the referendum campaign on the
Brexit side who believed that, in the event of a Brexit win, there might be an
offer from the EU to meet Britain's objections in an attempt to keep Britain in
the EU. That might have been justified speculation then, but it is redundant
now. The EU are not interested in keeping Britain in. They are more concerned
to deter other countries from holding referendums as a blackmailing manoeuvre,
want to conclude Britain's exit without delay, and move on to deal with the
substantial problems with the eurozone.
During the referendum campaign, Vote Leave published a
'roadmap' to 'take back control'. Chris Grayling, The Tory Leader of the
Commons, said: 'After we vote Leave, the public need to see that there is immediate
action to take back control from the EU'. Grayling continued to point out
that the negotiation process would be combined with 'legislative changes before
2020'. The steps Vote Leave set out included bills to increase NHS funding, 'to
end the automatic right of all EU citizens to enter the UK', a trade bill and,
importantly, a 'European Communities Act 1972 (Repeal) Bill' to repeal the act
that is 'the legal basis for the supremacy of EU law in the UK' and to ensure
that 'The EU Treaties will cease to form part of UK law and the European
Court's jurisdiction over the UK will end'.
Now, however, there is a marked reluctance to understand
basic English. Despite the EU making it very clear that they want Britain out,
the Tories have convinced themselves that there needs to be a whole series of
committee meetings, informal talks, and detailed negotiations that are so
extensive that the process could take years. We are told that these things
cannot be rushed (just like the Chilcot enquiry into the Iraq war). Some Tories
are hankering after keeping free movement of people, including one leading
Brexit campaigner, reducing immigration as a goal is being disavowed, and
others are prattling about staying in the Single Market.
One leading Tory is advocating that the negotiations
with the EU should proceed with the outcome being put to the electorate in a
second referendum. Jeremy Hunt, who is an expected leadership candidate, wrote: ‘a “Norway plus” option for us - full
access to the single market with a sensible compromise on free movement rules’
should be the goal, with there being another referendum ‘before setting the
clock ticking’ by triggering Article 50, the EU's own mechanism for a
country to exit as per the Lisbon Treaty.
As if all that is not bad enough, the Tories are now in
the midst of a ponderous leadership election. David Cameron is simply treading
water. There is no leadership and no drive to carry through the referendum
decision. It is planned that the Tories will have a new leader by September. In
the meantime, the Tories refuse to enact Article 50.
UKIP, as ever, have missed the point. Nigel Farage, the
leader, is miffed that he has not been invited to be involved in the hoped for
negotiations. In the EU parliament, he launched into an attack on the EU and
demanded an adult approach 'as to how we negotiate a different relationship'.
To recap, as Lord Lawson pointed out during the
campaign, the alternative to being members of the EU is not to be members of
the EU. The referendum decision taken by the people was to leave. The Brexit
campaign was specific in saying that Britain would exit the Single Market (they
were specific about this) and revert to WTO rules if needs be. A decision to do
so has been taken. The EU is prepared to respect this decision and seek an
early divorce. There is nothing to be gained by UKIP slanging off the EU, and
such is irrelevant. The EU is not the problem. The EU is in favour of Britain
leaving.
George Osborne, who is still chancellor despite his
behaviour during the campaign, has said that he would be 'strongly arguing' for
the 'closest possible ties' with the EU; he said that we should seek to retain
the supposed economic benefits of EU membership, including membership of the
Single Market; the terms of this, he said, would be decided in the negotiations
which would be taking place over the next two years. Osborne's stance
reinforces the fact that he needs to be replaced without delay.
As the English Rights Campaign pointed out during the
campaign, membership of the Single Market is akin to membership of the EU and
is the EU fanatic's fall-back position. Sadiq Khan, the London mayor, has
openly called for continued membership of the Single Market even if Britain
supposedly leaves.
Membership of the Single Market is harmful to Britain.
It includes free movement of people and so mass immigration is unavoidable.
Angela Merkel has restated that free access to the Single Market will only be
agreed in return for free movement of people; access comes with obligations.
Furthermore, Britain has a massive balance of trade
deficit with the EU. This deficit is ruinous and cannot be allowed to continue.
Despite free trade economic theories, it is not self-correcting. The trade
policy to be pursued should be to bring our trade with the EU back into
balance. Britain needs to leave the Single Market and that was the referendum
decision.
The Vote Leave Boris Johnson, who has himself been
backtracking, is the frontrunner to replace Cameron as the Tory leader. The
Tory leadership struggle will dominate as well as delay proper government. If
elected leader (and Theresa May, the Remain Home Secretary, has surfaced from
her hiding hole as a stop Boris candidate) Boris Johnson will have a short
window of enjoying the initiative, especially if Labour are still embroiled in
an internal power struggle between social democrats and Trotskyites.
Given the pro-EU majority in parliament, then a general
election is a distinct possibility. How that might resolve the impasse is
difficult to envisage. Had UKIP any gumption, then a general election would be
their best opportunity to finally break through. Although they would need to
take a very good look at their ideological stance to succeed.
The idea that leaving the EU is so complicated that
there must be years of negotiations is simply a trick to avoid adhering to the
referendum decision. It is a ruse. We need to get out at once. We need to stop
giving money to the EU and stop further EU laws being imposed upon us. Frau
Merkel has made it clear that we will not be allowed free access to the Single
Market, and so we should base our future relationship on the WTO rules. The aim
should be to have left the EU by Christmas.
To put this into an historical context, after the introduction
of the Import Duties Act of 1932, within six months Britain was able to set up
the Imperial Preference area for the British Empire at the Ottawa Conference in
July/August 1932.
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